Many attempts have been undertaken to construct empirical wind models
of the middle and upper atmosphere that include the stratosphere, the mesosphere
and the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere region. The most widely used
models are the COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere 72 (CIRA-72, 1972)
and the Fleming et al. (1988) model, which is a part of CIRA-86 model. Since
the CIRA model concerns areas far above the greatest heights for standard
radiosondes the CIRA-72 model was mainly based on rocket data, including
only sparse meteor radar and ionospheric drift data. In that model the zonal
wind below 85 km was calculated from the thermal (gradient) wind equation
and the related temperature was determined from satellite radiance measurements.
Above 85 km wind data were calculated from the mass spectrometer and incoherent
scatter (MSIS-83) empirical model temperatures (Hedin et al., 1991). This
method is not a direct way of wind determination. In addition the reliability
of the gradient winds is also questionable due to the low accuracy of the
satellite temperature measurements in the upper mesosphere, and the absence
of direct temperature data between 85 and 100 km in the MSIS model. It is
useful to note that the Fleming et al. (1988) model does not contain information
about meridional winds.
However, it is known that, unlike in the stratosphere, the prevailing meridional
winds in the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere are only 1.5-2 times slower
than the zonal winds. A well-known meridional wind model for this region
(Groves, 1969) has been developed utilizing sporadic rocket wind data obtained
at only few sites in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). As a result, this model
presented a quite schematic picture of the height-latitudinal structure of
a zonal mean meridional wind field at 60-110 km for separate seasons. In
this case the circulation in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) was believed to
be a mirror image of NH wind systems for the corresponding season, only with
the opposite sign. Nastrom et al. (1982) have also developed an empirical
model of the meridional circulation at 95 km for NH summer. Their analysis
has shown that at all measurement sites the prevailing meridional wind was
predominantly southward independent of longitude. Therefore it was concluded
that the prevailing wind in the lower thermosphere (LT) is mainly ageostrophic.
This conclusion of meridional wind ageostrophicity for different seasons
was made by Portnyagin (1986) who analysed ground-based meridional wind observations
for sites located in two narrow latitudinal belts and situated far apart
in longitude. A model known as ``interim new CIRA'' contained a set of radar
derived direct wind measurements for 14 locations (Manson et al., 1985).
Much useful information about global wind structures in the upper mesosphere/lower
thermosphere region was obtained. In Manson et al. (1991) comparisons between
satellite-derived gradient winds from the Fleming et al. (1988) model and
radar-derived winds were made. It was found that overall the agreement for
the zonal winds at the particular observational sites was rather good (but
not complete). The comparison of meridional winds revealed significant ageostrophy.
The first attempt to develop a global height-latitude model of meridional
winds from ground-based radar measurements was undertaken by Manson et al.
(1987). However due to insufficient data (only nine sites were used) the
authors only succeeded in constructing the height-latitude cross-sections
of meridional wind fields for two months and for a limited latitude range
in both hemispheres.
The radar-based Global Empirical Wind Model (GEWM) for the upper mesosphere/lower
thermosphere (70-110 km) was constructed in 1984 (Portnyagin, 1984) and updated
in the following years (Portnyagin, 1986, 1987; Portnyagin and Solovjova,
1992, 2000, Portnyagin et al., 1995, 2003). The last version of the model,
basically referring the to 1990-2000 period, also includes data from the
HRDI experiment on board UARS. The analytic empirical horizontal wind model
(HWM93), using the height interval 70-110 km, has been recently developed
by Hedin et al. (1996). The model is based not only on the CIRA-86 tabulations,
but also on the selected historical rocket data, previous rocket data based
tabulations, meteor radar and MF radar data, and lower thermosphere incoherent
scatter data. However the data used for constructing of the model for the
upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere region (80-100 km) were obtained at the
limited number of stations (see Table 1 in Hedin et al., 1996).
Recently direct wind observations from the wind imaging interferometer (WINDII)
and the high-resolution Doppler imager (HRDI) on board the Upper Atmosphere
Research Satellite (UARS) have provided the principal new global wind data
set for the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere region. The corresponding
empirical prevailing zonal wind models (see, e.g., Wang et al., 1997) and
the prevailing meridional wind model (Fauliot et al., 1997) were constructed.
Fleming et al. (1996) and Portnyagin et al. (1999) concluded that, in general,
the space-based zonal wind models exhibited significant differences relative
to the ground-based models. However, Fauliot et al. (1997) have stated that
the WINDII-based prevailing meridional wind model are similar to the ground-based
Portnyagin et al. (1995) model.
It may be concluded that with the GEWM a zonal mean wind model for the mesosphere/lower
thermosphere is available. However, still several problems should be solved
to create a consistent update wind model. The GEWM model is mainly based
on MF and MR radar data. These are different methods with somewhat different
wind results when measured at the same point. This creates non-homogeneous
set of the wind data. Thus, there is need of systematic study of these differences
and subsequent homogenisation of the data. Introducing space-based data into
the model requires the same study for space-based and ground-based measurements.
Data obtained during several years are used for construction of a climatic
wind model. Frequently it is not possible to use the data obtained during
the same years. There are long-term trends and inter-annual wind variability,
which are possibly different at different latitudes and longitudes. For a
consistent climatic wind model one needs to understand the distribution of
these trends and how the used climatic wind values reflect the real atmospheric
wind distribution.
Below the stratopause, analyses data (UKMO, ECMWF, NCAR/NCEP) are available
that, although the winds derived from these data are not purely empirical,
give good estimates of the mean circulation there. The wind models for the
mesosphere, however, still need to be improved. In addition, only few information
is available for non-zonal structures in the middle atmosphere, namely stationary
planetary waves, and the variability in the time scale of planetary waves.
Only recently, Fahrutdinova et al. (2003) accomplished the comparison for
some midlatitude sites (Kazan, Collm, Saskatoon) using UKMO and radar data.
They showed significant longitudinal distinctions in the altitudinal and
seasonal structure of the circulation, thus indicating their non-zonal character.
Concerning tides, which become a prominent feature of middle atmosphere circulation
above 70 km, only few climatologies are available. The probably first attempt
to construct a global picture of the diurnal and semidiurnal tide has bee
undertaken by Manson et al. (1989). More recently, updated measurements from
MF radars at different latitudes have been presented (Manson et al., 1999),
while Jacobi et al. (1999) presented semidiurnal tides from a narrow (middle)
latitude band, but for different longitudes. An empirical model, as the GEWM
based upon radar winds, have been presented by Portnyagin and Solovjova (1998),
while Forbes et al. 1994) presented tides calculated from an assimilative
approach. The HWM93 (Hedin et al., 1996) also contains information about
tides. Global pictures of the tide were also derived from UARS measurements
(Burrage et al., 1995, Khattatov et al., 1997a,b). However, as has been found
from comparison of long-term measurements at different longitudes, the tides
are very variable in both temporal and spatial sense, so that the models
thus far are not yet satisfactory, and updated measurements should be included.
It may be concluded that there is still need for a comprehensive reference
mode that contains mean winds, planetary waves, tidal amplitudes and phases,
and information about the variability of the winds, including trends and
long-period variations. Since the database in several regions is sparse (mesosphere,
thermosphere), pure empirical models constructed using only one method are
only possible for selected regions. Therefore, a combined approach may be
taken into account, that includes empirical models for the regions well covered
with data, but an assimilative approach for the mesosphere and the lower
thermosphere region.
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last modification: 27.4.2004